Of course you burn fat on long rides, if you try to or not. But does burning the most fat, in limited hours, actually do the most to improve the amount of fat you can burn? Is maximum fat burning even limited by anything specific to fat burning itself, as oposed to just availability of oxygen and the Krebs cycle (also used for glucose) in general?
Looking through some literature, a couple of things hit me. HIIT, may improve fat oxidation as much as, or more than, riding slow for the same hours, again ignoring fatigue/recovery concerns that may limit useful hours. This is interesting since MAP efforts use no fat at all, but both improve mitochondrial function and Krebs cycle availability. But then it seems we don’t even really know why or fully how fat burning gets actually shut down at VO2max. Probably it’s for the obvious reason that it uses about 10% more O2 per ATP than glucose, and maybe more blood flow too. So the “best” you can hope for is to burn 100% fat up to a power level of 90% VO2max glucose power and then instantly transition into glucose as needed between 90 to 100%. But really we need to switch over starting earlier, and more slowly so we get a lot more power already at 75% to 85% of VO2max where we can actually sustain it, and that’s what happens. Is it even clear that there is any optimization to be possibly gained in tuning the crossover curve, and if so what are you optimizing for? Do highly trained atheletes have a FATMAX at a higher percentage of VO2max? That seems unproven at best. Increasing that would increase fuel reserves at 85% of VO2max, but would reduce power there. (Edit: this is even more complicated because FATMAX isn’t fixed. It seems it already re-optimizes as we deplete glucose)
Then will zone 2 work increase VO2max? Can “improving” fat burning increase VO2max? Or does VO2max increase ability to burn everything, including fat? The HIIT evidence says the latter is true.
Long rides, will use fat for sure. You don’t have to force that. You can’t avoid it. Yes, riding at “FATMAX” will use a bit more, especially in shorter sessions, but that doesn’t prove much else.
I’m a huge believer in science, but also in the human body’s ability to adapt to what you ask it to do. If you ride mostly to kill the weekends, then trying not to kill the weekends may be a poor strategy. If you’re training for some longer event on <10 hours a week, the answers are less clear. I think you need long rides to train long rides. Do slow short rides also help? More than fast short rides? Enh… maybe?
Are lots of winter base hours good? Probably. Is 80/20 reasonable? Rue the Day, itself a HIIT workout is 60/40, so sure, by time it might be.